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Is Brandon Aiyuk for DK Metcalf fair?

Brandon Aiyuk and DK Metcalf have been on opposite sides of 38 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 10 times it was the Brandon Aiyuk side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating DK Metcalf as the more valuable of the two.

38
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
8 / 2
One side sweetened: Brandon Aiyuk / DK Metcalf

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brandon Aiyuk prices at 880 and DK Metcalf at 2,285, so the market currently rates DK Metcalf about 2.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brandon AiyukWent with DK Metcalf
2025-11-13-35%3 1sts, 1 2ndJosh Jacobs, A.J. Brown, Breece Hall
2025-11-07-33%1 2nd
2025-10-07+3%1 2nd
2025-03-20+33%Jerry Jeudy
2024-10-05+61%Jaylen WaddleAaron Jones
2024-10-01+6%1 3rd
2024-09-04+2%1 2nd
2024-09-04+14%T.J. Hockenson, 1 3rdCooper Kupp, 1 2nd
2024-09-01-2%Kirk Cousins, 1 3rdRhamondre Stevenson, 1 2nd
2024-08-10-7%Mike EvansGeorge Pickens, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Brandon Aiyuk, plus anything in the third column, was traded for DK Metcalf plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brandon Aiyuk; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 38, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.1% from the side that received Brandon Aiyuk, so the side ending up with DK Metcalf has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brandon Aiyuk for DK Metcalf fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 38 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brandon Aiyuk trade · Every DK Metcalf trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms