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Is DK Metcalf for Justin Jefferson fair?

DK Metcalf and Justin Jefferson have been on opposite sides of 42 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: DK Metcalf for Justin Jefferson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 12 of those 12 times it was the DK Metcalf side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Jefferson as the more valuable of the two.

42
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
12 / 0
One side sweetened: DK Metcalf / Justin Jefferson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today DK Metcalf prices at 2,285 and Justin Jefferson at 9,205, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 4.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with DK MetcalfWent with Justin Jefferson
2026-05-07-19%Jerry Jeudy, Dak Prescott, Jauan Jennings, 7 moreJayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Lamar Jackson, 10 more
2025-10-11-20%Keenan Allen, 2 1sts, 1 2nd1 3rd
2025-02-27+18%C.J. Stroud
2024-11-19+4%Hunter Henry, Jahmyr GibbsTucker Kraft, 1 2nd
2024-10-16+22%Bucky Irving, Blake Corum, Amari Cooper, 2 more, 2 1stsJayden Reed, Andrei Iosivas, Ray Davis, 4 more
2024-10-03-82%Malik Washington, David Njoku, Isiah PachecoColby Parkinson, Ja'Marr Chase, Andy Dalton
2024-06-24-10%Jaylen Waddle
2024-03-19+29%Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara
2024-02-07+25%Tony Pollard, Tee Higgins, Zamir White, 1 more, 1 1st, 2 2ndsBrian Robinson, 2 1sts
2024-01-16-3%David Montgomery, Kyren WilliamsJoe Mixon

Read each row as: DK Metcalf, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Jefferson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received DK Metcalf; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 42, the whole-deal value gap runs +8.5% from the side that received DK Metcalf, so the side ending up with DK Metcalf has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is DK Metcalf for Justin Jefferson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 42 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every DK Metcalf trade · Every Justin Jefferson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms