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Is Brandon Aiyuk for Justin Jefferson fair?

Brandon Aiyuk and Justin Jefferson have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 9 times it was the Brandon Aiyuk side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Jefferson as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
9 / 0
One side sweetened: Brandon Aiyuk / Justin Jefferson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brandon Aiyuk prices at 880 and Justin Jefferson at 9,205, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 10.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brandon AiyukWent with Justin Jefferson
2026-05-07-19%CeeDee Lamb, Bucky Irving, Tua Tagovailoa, 19 moreJayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Lamar Jackson, 10 more
2025-09-25-4%Caleb Williams, 1 2ndSpencer Rattler
2025-05-29-4%Rashee Rice, Jaleel McLaughlin, Bucky Irving, 3 more, 1 later pickZach Ertz, Stefon Diggs, 1 2nd, 2 3rds
2025-04-16-14%Bryce Young, 1 1st, 1 3rd1 2nd
2025-03-25-18%Brock Purdy, 1 2nd
2024-12-01-12%Kayshon Boutte, 2 1sts
2024-11-23+22%Chris Olave, Isiah Pacheco, 1 1st, 1 later pickCedric Tillman
2024-11-15+52%C.J. Stroud, 1 1st
2024-07-04+22%Brock Bowers, Chris OlaveCole Kmet, Josh Downs
2024-06-26-3%Mike Evans, George Kittle, Dalton Schultz, 1 moreLuke Musgrave

Read each row as: Brandon Aiyuk, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Jefferson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brandon Aiyuk; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs -3.4% from the side that received Brandon Aiyuk, so the side ending up with Justin Jefferson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brandon Aiyuk for Justin Jefferson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brandon Aiyuk trade · Every Justin Jefferson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms