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Is Justin Jefferson for Malik Nabers fair?

Justin Jefferson and Malik Nabers have been on opposite sides of 49 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 5 of them were straight up: Justin Jefferson for Malik Nabers, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 13 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 13 of those 13 times it was the Malik Nabers side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Jefferson as the more valuable of the two.

49
Deals they were both in
5
Straight up, one for one
0 / 13
One side sweetened: Justin Jefferson / Malik Nabers

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Justin Jefferson prices at 9,205 and Malik Nabers at 7,995, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 1.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Justin JeffersonWent with Malik Nabers
2026-07-22+10%Josh AllenHarold Fannin, Antonio Williams, Justin Herbert
2026-07-06+61%Kyler Murray1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-06-25+13%
2026-05-20+32%Rhamondre Stevenson1 3rd
2026-05-14+21%Tyler Shough, Davante AdamsHarold Fannin
2026-01-09+31%
2025-11-26+36%
2025-11-04+34%Troy Franklin
2025-11-01+28%Josh Downs
2025-10-24+17%Brian RobinsonHarold Fannin

Read each row as: Justin Jefferson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Malik Nabers plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Justin Jefferson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 49, the whole-deal value gap runs +13.4% from the side that received Justin Jefferson, so the side ending up with Justin Jefferson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Justin Jefferson for Malik Nabers fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 49 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Justin Jefferson trade · Every Malik Nabers trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms