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Is Justin Jefferson for Tee Higgins fair?

Justin Jefferson and Tee Higgins have been on opposite sides of 47 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 11 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 11 times it was the Tee Higgins side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Jefferson as the more valuable of the two.

47
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 11
One side sweetened: Justin Jefferson / Tee Higgins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Justin Jefferson prices at 9,205 and Tee Higgins at 3,613, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Justin JeffersonWent with Tee Higgins
2026-06-14+37%Travis Etienne2 1sts
2026-04-22+13%Travis KelceBlake Corum, Brenton Strange, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2026-04-15-7%Kimani VidalRico Dowdle, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-11-11+7%Justin Herbert, 1 1st
2025-09-19+24%Tua TagovailoaJordan Addison, 1 1st, 1 later pick
2025-08-31+25%Jordan MasonJack Bech, TreVeyon Henderson
2025-08-12+5%Kyler Murray, Tyjae SpearsTerrance Ferguson, Alvin Kamara, Jalen Hurts, 1 2nd
2025-08-06-12%Ladd McConkey
2025-06-03-21%J.J. McCarthy, John Metchie, Tank BigsbyXavier Worthy, DJ Giddens, Patrick Mahomes
2025-04-28+2%Xavier Legette2 1sts

Read each row as: Justin Jefferson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tee Higgins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Justin Jefferson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 47, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.1% from the side that received Justin Jefferson - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Justin Jefferson for Tee Higgins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 47 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Justin Jefferson trade · Every Tee Higgins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms