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Is Brandon Aiyuk for Kyler Murray fair?

Brandon Aiyuk and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Brandon Aiyuk side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kyler Murray as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: Brandon Aiyuk / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brandon Aiyuk prices at 880 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates Brandon Aiyuk about 1.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brandon AiyukWent with Kyler Murray
2025-09-19+15%Joe BurrowKenneth Walker, Zach Charbonnet
2025-07-26+7%T.J. Hockenson, Tua Tagovailoa, Javonte Williams, 1 moreTreVeyon Henderson, Kyle Pitts, Chris Olave
2025-04-19+8%Rashee Rice, Jayden Daniels, Trey Benson, 4 2nds, 1 3rdJonathon Brooks, Garrett Wilson, 2 1sts, 3 3rds
2025-01-14-10%Rashee Rice, 1 1st, 1 2ndJa'Tavion Sanders, Josh Downs, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-10-26+46%Amon-Ra St. BrownTyler Allgeier
2024-09-27+17%Isaac Guerendo, Jake Browning, Joe Burrow, 1 more, 1 1stRoschon Johnson, DeVonta Smith, Zay Flowers, 1 2nd
2024-09-22+32%Brock Purdy, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-09-21+111%Caleb Williams, Tyrone TracyRaheem Mostert
2024-04-07-4%Curtis Samuel, Mark Andrews, Justin Fields, 1 later pickDK Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, Juwan Johnson
2024-02-13+3%Gabe Davis, Isaiah Spiller, 1 3rd1 later pick

Read each row as: Brandon Aiyuk, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brandon Aiyuk; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -3.8% from the side that received Brandon Aiyuk, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brandon Aiyuk for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brandon Aiyuk trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms