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Is Brian Thomas for CeeDee Lamb fair?

Brian Thomas and CeeDee Lamb have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Brian Thomas for CeeDee Lamb, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 10 times it was the Brian Thomas side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating CeeDee Lamb as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
9 / 1
One side sweetened: Brian Thomas / CeeDee Lamb

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brian Thomas prices at 2,662 and CeeDee Lamb at 9,034, so the market currently rates CeeDee Lamb about 3.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brian ThomasWent with CeeDee Lamb
2026-05-17-33%Luther Burden, 1 2nd
2026-04-29-3%Trevor Lawrence, 1 1st, 1 2ndRicky Pearsall, Brock Purdy
2026-03-12-4%Jayden Daniels, RJ Harvey, 1 1stDak Prescott, Breece Hall
2026-02-26-44%Kyren Williams
2025-11-26-26%1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-11-15-20%Tetairoa McMillan, George Pickens, Aaron RodgersJaxson Dart, Shedeur Sanders, Travis Hunter
2025-11-14+17%Marvin Harrison
2025-10-11+14%David Montgomery, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen HurtsJaylen Wright, Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott, 1 1st
2025-10-05+7%2 1stsKeenan Allen, Javonte Williams
2025-09-28-16%Matthew Golden

Read each row as: Brian Thomas, plus anything in the third column, was traded for CeeDee Lamb plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brian Thomas; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -11.7% from the side that received Brian Thomas, so the side ending up with CeeDee Lamb has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brian Thomas for CeeDee Lamb fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brian Thomas trade · Every CeeDee Lamb trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms