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Is Brian Thomas for Ja'Marr Chase fair?

Brian Thomas and Ja'Marr Chase have been on opposite sides of 31 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 12 of those 12 times it was the Brian Thomas side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Ja'Marr Chase as the more valuable of the two.

31
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
12 / 0
One side sweetened: Brian Thomas / Ja'Marr Chase

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brian Thomas prices at 2,662 and Ja'Marr Chase at 10,232, so the market currently rates Ja'Marr Chase about 3.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brian ThomasWent with Ja'Marr Chase
2026-07-12-15%Bo Nix, Oscar Delp, Kenny Gainwell, 1 more, 1 1st, 2 2ndsJoe Burrow, J.K. Dobbins, Chuba Hubbard
2026-05-30+15%Jonathon Brooks, Tetairoa McMillan, 2 1stsMichael Wilson
2026-05-15-35%2 1sts
2026-04-26+3%Marvin Harrison, Travis Etienne
2026-04-02+12%Jonathan Taylor, 1 2ndRay Davis
2026-03-15-5%2 1sts
2026-03-11+31%Christian Watson, 2 1sts
2025-12-17-42%2 1sts
2025-12-07-22%Kaleb Johnson, Tucker Kraft, 2 2nds, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-11-26+17%Omarion Hampton, Trevor Lawrence, Garrett Wilson, 1 2ndDak Prescott, Kareem Hunt, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Brian Thomas, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Ja'Marr Chase plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brian Thomas; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 31, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.2% from the side that received Brian Thomas - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brian Thomas for Ja'Marr Chase fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 31 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brian Thomas trade · Every Ja'Marr Chase trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms