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Is Christian Kirk for Terry McLaurin fair?

Christian Kirk and Terry McLaurin have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the Christian Kirk side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Terry McLaurin as the more valuable of the two.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 1
One side sweetened: Christian Kirk / Terry McLaurin

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian Kirk prices at 24 and Terry McLaurin at 1,768, so the market currently rates Terry McLaurin about 73.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian KirkWent with Terry McLaurin
2026-05-17-19%Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pickCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2025-09-29+18%DJ Moore
2025-05-16-53%Chuba Hubbard, 1 later pickChristian Watson, 1 3rd
2025-05-13-59%Travis Etienne, 1 3rdSean Tucker
2024-11-09-21%Rashee Rice, Ray Davis, Keon Coleman, 1 moreA.J. Brown
2024-11-07-31%Audric Estime, Jonathon Brooks, Bucky Irving, 2 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rdMike Evans, David Njoku, Austin Ekeler, 2 more
2024-10-31+104%1 1st, 1 2nd1 later pick
2024-10-29+15%Marquise Brown, Michael Mayer, 1 1st, 1 2ndJosh Jacobs
2024-10-19+10%Rico Dowdle, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdJake Ferguson
2024-08-19+35%Davante AdamsChris Godwin

Read each row as: Christian Kirk, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Terry McLaurin plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian Kirk; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.6% from the side that received Christian Kirk, so the side ending up with Christian Kirk has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian Kirk for Terry McLaurin fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian Kirk trade · Every Terry McLaurin trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms