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Is Christian Kirk for Tyler Lockett fair?

Christian Kirk and Tyler Lockett have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 7 times it was the Christian Kirk side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyler Lockett as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 3
One side sweetened: Christian Kirk / Tyler Lockett

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian Kirk prices at 22 and Tyler Lockett at 2, so the market currently rates Christian Kirk about 11.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian KirkWent with Tyler Lockett
2024-12-07+53%Ray Davis, Isaiah Likely, DeMario DouglasIsaac Guerendo, Pat Freiermuth
2024-11-16-24%2 2ndsCooper Kupp
2024-11-09+71%Brandon Aiyuk, Josh DownsCalvin Ridley, J.K. Dobbins, Najee Harris
2024-07-05+37%Aaron Jones, Jerome Ford, 1 2ndJakobi Meyers, Tyjae Spears
2024-03-14+4%Marquise BrownNick Chubb, Jerome Ford
2023-12-14-56%Mike Williams, 1 1st, 1 2ndTravis Kelce
2023-06-08+64%Ryan Tannehill
2023-01-19-64%Gabe Davis, Daniel BellingerCooper Kupp
2022-07-20-10%1 later pick
2022-07-18+31%Josh Jacobs, 1 1stAaron Jones, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Christian Kirk, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyler Lockett plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian Kirk; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.2% from the side that received Christian Kirk, so the side ending up with Tyler Lockett has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian Kirk for Tyler Lockett fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian Kirk trade · Every Tyler Lockett trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms