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Is Christian Kirk for Tyreek Hill fair?

Christian Kirk and Tyreek Hill have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Christian Kirk side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyreek Hill as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: Christian Kirk / Tyreek Hill

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian Kirk prices at 24 and Tyreek Hill at 453, so the market currently rates Tyreek Hill about 18.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian KirkWent with Tyreek Hill
2026-06-02+11%Efton Chism, Jalen Hurts, Zach Ertz, 10 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 later picksDak Prescott, Brandin Cooks, Tua Tagovailoa, 18 more, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2026-05-17-19%Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pickCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2025-10-01-161%1 later pick1 3rd
2025-05-01-99%1 2nd
2024-11-26-97%Stefon Diggs, 1 2nd1 3rd
2024-08-08-7%Kenneth Walker, 1 2ndBrandin Cooks
2024-06-11-51%Kirk Cousins, Marquise Brown, 1 later pick1 2nd
2024-05-12-79%Diontae Johnson, 1 2nd
2024-04-13-80%Marquise Brown, Kendre Miller, Will LevisDerek Carr, Javonte Williams
2024-03-16-20%DeAndre Hopkins, Christian McCaffrey, Dallas GoedertDalton Kincaid, Josh Jacobs

Read each row as: Christian Kirk, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyreek Hill plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian Kirk; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -47.5% from the side that received Christian Kirk, so the side ending up with Tyreek Hill has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian Kirk for Tyreek Hill fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian Kirk trade · Every Tyreek Hill trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms