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Is DK Metcalf for Tyreek Hill fair?

DK Metcalf and Tyreek Hill have been on opposite sides of 38 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 11 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 11 times it was the DK Metcalf side (5 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyreek Hill as the more valuable of the two.

38
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
6 / 5
One side sweetened: DK Metcalf / Tyreek Hill

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today DK Metcalf prices at 2,306 and Tyreek Hill at 228, so the market currently rates DK Metcalf about 10.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with DK MetcalfWent with Tyreek Hill
2026-05-04+21%Jacob Cowing, Sam Darnold, Isaiah Davis, 15 more, 1 3rdCeeDee Lamb, Chris Godwin, Zach Ertz, 16 more, 1 1st, 2 2nds, 1 later pick
2025-10-19+0%Sam LaPorta, Michael Penix, Spencer Rattler, 6 moreRay Davis, LeQuint Allen, James Conner, 1 more, 7 1sts, 3 2nds, 1 3rd
2025-09-30-64%Mike Evans, Stefon Diggs, Hunter HenryBrian Thomas, Kayshon Boutte
2025-08-23+65%Jerry Jeudy
2025-08-13-21%DJ Moore, De'Von AchaneTravis Hunter, Breece Hall
2025-07-13-4%1 3rd
2025-06-13+49%1 1stTravis Kelce
2025-05-20+32%Jalen Hurts, Garrett Wilson, 1 1stLamar Jackson, Jameson Williams
2025-05-20+32%Jalen Hurts, Garrett Wilson, 1 1stLamar Jackson, Jameson Williams
2024-12-24+10%Jaylen WaddleJordan Addison

Read each row as: DK Metcalf, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyreek Hill plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received DK Metcalf; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 38, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.8% from the side that received DK Metcalf - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is DK Metcalf for Tyreek Hill fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 38 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every DK Metcalf trade · Every Tyreek Hill trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms