Christian McCaffrey and Ezekiel Elliott have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Christian McCaffrey for Ezekiel Elliott, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the Ezekiel Elliott side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Christian McCaffrey as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with Christian McCaffrey | Went with Ezekiel Elliott |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-19 | +24% | Daniel Jones, 1 1st | Jalen Hurts |
| 2022-11-16 | +123% | — | Jimmy Garoppolo, Evan Engram, 1 2nd |
| 2022-10-06 | +75% | 1 2nd | Michael Thomas, Chase Claypool, 1 2nd |
| 2022-09-01 | +45% | — | Ryan Tannehill, Parris Campbell, 1 1st |
| 2022-07-31 | +135% | — | — |
| 2022-06-30 | +116% | Jeremy Chinn | Derwin James |
| 2022-06-22 | +56% | Mitchell Trubisky, Chuba Hubbard, Tyrion Davis-Price, 1 3rd | Desmond Ridder, 1 1st, 1 later pick |
| 2022-03-31 | +100% | — | 1 2nd |
| 2022-03-06 | +96% | Josh Allen, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Ryan Tannehill, DeAndre Hopkins, Alex Singleton, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2021-11-11 | +36% | — | Matt Ryan, 1 2nd |
Read each row as: Christian McCaffrey, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Ezekiel Elliott plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian McCaffrey; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs +33.2% from the side that received Christian McCaffrey, so the side ending up with Christian McCaffrey has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Christian McCaffrey for Ezekiel Elliott fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Christian McCaffrey trade · Every Ezekiel Elliott trade
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