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Is Christian McCaffrey for J.K. Dobbins fair?

Christian McCaffrey and J.K. Dobbins have been on opposite sides of 30 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the J.K. Dobbins side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Christian McCaffrey as the more valuable of the two.

30
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 5
One side sweetened: Christian McCaffrey / J.K. Dobbins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian McCaffrey prices at 4,381 and J.K. Dobbins at 291, so the market currently rates Christian McCaffrey about 15.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Christian McCaffrey for J.K. Dobbins now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian McCaffreyWent with J.K. Dobbins
2026-07-22-88%CeeDee Lamb, Davis Mills, Matthew Stafford, 16 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 2 later picksJames Conner, Tucker Kraft, Andrei Iosivas, 15 more, 1 later pick
2026-05-24+58%Jakobi Meyers, Tyquan ThorntonMichael Pittman, Javonte Williams
2026-04-10+2%David Montgomery, 1 3rdTyrone Tracy, Kyler Murray, 1 1st, 2 2nds
2026-04-09-22%Mike Evans, A.J. Brown, Kenneth Walker, 1 later pickJacoby Brissett, George Pickens, Chris Olave, 1 more
2025-09-24+90%Josh Downs, 1 3rd
2024-09-14+57%1 2ndKenneth Walker
2023-11-15+28%George Kittle, Justin Herbert, Antonio Gibson, 1 more, 1 3rdPatrick Mahomes, Cam Akers, Rashod Bateman, 1 more, 1 1st
2023-08-23+77%Elijah Mitchell, 1 3rdMac Jones, Jelani Woods, Josh Downs
2023-04-24-10%Russell Wilson, Cooper Kupp, Aaron Jones, 1 more, 1 3rdLamar Jackson, Tee Higgins, Malik Willis, 1 more
2022-09-21+39%Jakobi Meyers1 1st

Read each row as: Christian McCaffrey, plus anything in the third column, was traded for J.K. Dobbins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian McCaffrey; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 30, the whole-deal value gap runs +16.6% from the side that received Christian McCaffrey, so the side ending up with Christian McCaffrey has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian McCaffrey for J.K. Dobbins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 30 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian McCaffrey trade · Every J.K. Dobbins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms