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Is Christian McCaffrey for Tony Pollard fair?

Christian McCaffrey and Tony Pollard have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 7 times it was the Tony Pollard side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Christian McCaffrey as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 6
One side sweetened: Christian McCaffrey / Tony Pollard

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian McCaffrey prices at 4,381 and Tony Pollard at 371, so the market currently rates Christian McCaffrey about 11.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian McCaffreyWent with Tony Pollard
2025-05-15+69%Brian Robinson
2024-12-28-11%George Kittle, Kyler MurrayDavid Njoku, Alvin Kamara, Patrick Mahomes, 1 3rd
2024-12-22+86%Xavier Legette, Kirk CousinsKeenan Allen, Jerome Ford
2024-12-11+5%Tank Bigsby, 1 2ndAdam Thielen, Joe Mixon
2024-12-08+73%Tre Tucker
2024-05-01+6%1 2nd1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-03-17+2%Tyreek Hill, Mac JonesMarquise Brown, Romeo Doubs, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2023-11-17-22%Henry To'oTo'o, Deebo Samuel, Jameson WilliamsBrandin Cooks, CeeDee Lamb, Micah Parsons, 1 1st
2023-06-09+30%Elijah Moore, 1 2nd
2023-05-18+14%Courtland Sutton, Allen LazardDeebo Samuel, Rondale Moore, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Christian McCaffrey, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tony Pollard plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian McCaffrey; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs +24.8% from the side that received Christian McCaffrey, so the side ending up with Christian McCaffrey has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian McCaffrey for Tony Pollard fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian McCaffrey trade · Every Tony Pollard trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms