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Is C.J. Stroud for Dak Prescott fair?

C.J. Stroud and Dak Prescott have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the C.J. Stroud side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Dak Prescott as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 1
One side sweetened: C.J. Stroud / Dak Prescott

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today C.J. Stroud prices at 1,486 and Dak Prescott at 1,462, so the market currently rates C.J. Stroud about 1.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade C.J. Stroud for Dak Prescott now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with C.J. StroudWent with Dak Prescott
2026-05-16+14%Ja'Marr Chase, Alec Pierce, Jaylen WarrenDerrick Henry, CeeDee Lamb
2026-05-03+11%1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2026-03-24+6%1 3rd1 3rd
2025-12-06+36%1 2nd
2025-11-12-0%Jayden Reed, David Montgomery, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 1 later pickAmon-Ra St. Brown, Kyren Williams
2025-11-05+34%1 3rd, 1 later pick1 2nd
2025-10-25-2%Sam LaPortaMichael Penix, T.J. Hockenson, 1 1st
2025-10-23-12%1 1st, 1 2ndDJ Moore, DK Metcalf
2025-10-16+18%Jameson WilliamsDerrick Henry
2025-10-05+29%Jayden Higgins, Tre' Harris, 1 3rdGeorge Pickens

Read each row as: C.J. Stroud, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Dak Prescott plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received C.J. Stroud; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs +11.1% from the side that received C.J. Stroud, so the side ending up with C.J. Stroud has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is C.J. Stroud for Dak Prescott fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every C.J. Stroud trade · Every Dak Prescott trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms