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Is Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence fair?

Dak Prescott and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 54 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 12 times it was the Trevor Lawrence side (4 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Dak Prescott as the more valuable of the two.

54
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
4 / 8
One side sweetened: Dak Prescott / Trevor Lawrence

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dak Prescott prices at 1,462 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,545, so the market currently rates Trevor Lawrence about 1.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dak PrescottWent with Trevor Lawrence
2026-05-26-21%Derrick Henry, Brenton Strange, 1 2ndTucker Kraft
2025-11-27-42%Alvin Kamara
2025-10-29-2%
2025-10-22-20%DK MetcalfLadd McConkey, 1 3rd
2025-09-04-10%Kirk Cousins, David NjokuDillon Gabriel, Nick Chubb, Pat Freiermuth
2025-08-03-13%Mason Taylor, Tetairoa McMillan, 1 1stBrian Thomas
2025-08-02-29%1 3rd
2024-11-18-8%1 2nd1 later pick
2024-11-06+64%Mike Evans, 1 1stJalen Coker, Jerry Jeudy
2024-11-05+45%1 1stTheo Johnson

Read each row as: Dak Prescott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dak Prescott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 54, the whole-deal value gap runs -7.8% from the side that received Dak Prescott, so the side ending up with Trevor Lawrence has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 54 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dak Prescott trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms