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Is Dak Prescott for Justin Herbert fair?

Dak Prescott and Justin Herbert have been on opposite sides of 62 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 11 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 10 of those 11 times it was the Dak Prescott side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Herbert as the more valuable of the two.

62
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
10 / 1
One side sweetened: Dak Prescott / Justin Herbert

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dak Prescott prices at 1,462 and Justin Herbert at 3,160, so the market currently rates Justin Herbert about 2.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dak PrescottWent with Justin Herbert
2026-03-10+5%Jaylen Waddle
2024-11-16-31%2 2nds
2024-11-13+33%Rashee RiceJerry Jeudy
2024-11-07+81%Cooper Rush, 1 1stTyler Goodson, 1 2nd
2024-07-10-0%Diontae Johnson, Rhamondre Stevenson, 1 2nd, 1 later pickJalen McMillan, Cole Kmet, 1 3rd
2024-03-21-3%1 1st, 1 2ndDallas Goedert, Rashod Bateman, Tank Bigsby, 1 3rd
2023-12-14-42%Robert SpillaneBlake Cashman, Derrick Barnes, 1 2nd
2023-12-12-36%Chig Okonkwo, 1 later pick
2023-12-12-10%Alvin Kamara
2023-11-16-29%1 1st

Read each row as: Dak Prescott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Herbert plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dak Prescott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 62, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.6% from the side that received Dak Prescott - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dak Prescott for Justin Herbert fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 62 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dak Prescott trade · Every Justin Herbert trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms