Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 79 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Joe Burrow for Trevor Lawrence, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 16 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 14 of those 16 times it was the Trevor Lawrence side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Joe Burrow prices at 3,822 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,757, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 1.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Joe Burrow | Went with Trevor Lawrence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | -8% | Brian Thomas | Garrett Wilson |
| 2026-07-31 | -39% | Matthew Stafford, Sam Darnold, Deebo Samuel, 10 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 3 later picks | Jake Tonges, Jalen Tolbert, Tyler Warren, 14 more, 1 later pick |
| 2026-05-27 | +13% | 1 2nd | Oronde Gadsden, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2026-04-30 | +28% | 1 1st | 1 1st |
| 2026-02-13 | +48% | Samaje Perine, Noah Fant, Cam Taylor-Britt | Bhayshul Tuten, Devin Lloyd |
| 2025-10-03 | +22% | TreVeyon Henderson | Terrance Ferguson, De'Von Achane |
| 2025-10-01 | +9% | Carson Wentz | 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2025-09-17 | +50% | 1 2nd | Jordan Mason, 1 2nd |
| 2025-09-16 | +28% | Jake Browning | Adonai Mitchell, 1 1st |
| 2025-09-16 | +43% | 1 3rd, 1 later pick | Keenan Allen, Jake Browning, D'Andre Swift |
Read each row as: Joe Burrow, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Joe Burrow; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 79, the whole-deal value gap runs +14.9% from the side that received Joe Burrow, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Joe Burrow for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 79 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Joe Burrow trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade
All players with real trade data →