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Is Darren Waller for Kyle Pitts fair?

Darren Waller and Kyle Pitts have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the Darren Waller side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kyle Pitts as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 1
One side sweetened: Darren Waller / Kyle Pitts

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Darren Waller prices at 6 and Kyle Pitts at 2,700, so the market currently rates Kyle Pitts about 450.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Darren WallerWent with Kyle Pitts
2025-12-03-34%Dak Prescott, Darnell MooneyKyler Murray, Kayshon Boutte, 1 1st
2024-01-16+98%DeAndre Hopkins, Matthew Stafford, Trey McBride, 1 more, 1 later pick1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2023-12-07-43%Mark Andrews, Marquise Brown, Christian Watson, 1 more, 1 1stAdam Thielen, Tyreek Hill, James Conner, 1 more
2023-10-22+22%T.J. Hockenson
2023-10-06-75%Adam Trautman, Josh Downs, 1 2ndCraig Reynolds, 1 3rd
2023-09-26+15%Josh Reynolds, Joshua Dobbs, A.J. BrownMarquise Brown, Cam Akers, Darnell Mooney
2023-09-07+9%Kirk Cousins, Cooper KuppIsaiah Likely, Skyy Moore
2023-05-15-40%1 1st, 2 2nds2 3rds
2023-05-08-153%Eddie Jackson, Fred Warner, Zaire Franklin, 6 moreJaire Alexander, Taylor Rapp, Xavier McKinney, 4 more, 1 2nd
2022-12-04-46%Geno Smith, Keenan Allen, Raheem Mostert

Read each row as: Darren Waller, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyle Pitts plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Darren Waller; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -13.2% from the side that received Darren Waller, so the side ending up with Kyle Pitts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Darren Waller for Kyle Pitts fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Darren Waller trade · Every Kyle Pitts trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms