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Is Deebo Samuel for Justin Jefferson fair?

Deebo Samuel and Justin Jefferson have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Deebo Samuel for Justin Jefferson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Deebo Samuel side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Jefferson as the more valuable of the two.

23
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: Deebo Samuel / Justin Jefferson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deebo Samuel prices at 119 and Justin Jefferson at 9,205, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 77.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Deebo Samuel for Justin Jefferson now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deebo SamuelWent with Justin Jefferson
2025-09-21-90%George Pickens, Jaylen Warren, Quentin Johnston, 1 3rd1 3rd
2025-09-16-17%Blake Corum, Kyren Williams, Anthony Richardson, 2 1stsChristian McCaffrey, Tyjae Spears
2025-02-14+29%David Njoku, T.J. Hockenson, A.J. Brown, 2 moreCedric Tillman, Calvin Ridley, Jonathan Taylor, 1 more
2024-08-11-7%Sam LaPorta
2024-07-31-15%Rome Odunze, Joe MixonEzekiel Elliott, Colby Parkinson
2024-05-03+1%Tua Tagovailoa, Greg Dulcich, 1 1st, 1 2nd1 later pick
2024-04-27-4%2 1sts, 1 2nd
2023-10-30-26%Taysom Hill, Calvin Ridley, Gus Edwards, 2 moreC.J. Stroud, 1 1st
2023-10-19-10%Anthony Richardson, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rdJosh Jacobs, Bryce Young, 2 later picks
2023-10-12-15%3 1sts, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Deebo Samuel, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Justin Jefferson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deebo Samuel; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -10.1% from the side that received Deebo Samuel, so the side ending up with Justin Jefferson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deebo Samuel for Justin Jefferson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deebo Samuel trade · Every Justin Jefferson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms