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Is Deebo Samuel for Tyreek Hill fair?

Deebo Samuel and Tyreek Hill have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 6 times it was the Deebo Samuel side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyreek Hill as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
6 / 0
One side sweetened: Deebo Samuel / Tyreek Hill

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deebo Samuel prices at 119 and Tyreek Hill at 453, so the market currently rates Tyreek Hill about 3.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deebo SamuelWent with Tyreek Hill
2025-11-07-136%Keenan Allen, Tyler Higbee, Aaron Jones, 2 moreIsaac Guerendo, Will Howard, Mike Evans, 1 more
2025-07-09-34%DeMarcus Lawrence, Jameson Williams, 1 1st, 1 3rdZach Sieler, Andrew Van Ginkel, De'Von Achane
2025-06-02-45%Austin Ekeler, Dallas Goedert, Justin JeffersonKyren Williams, Jaylen Warren, C.J. Stroud, 1 1st
2024-10-26-33%Diontae Johnson, Rachaad WhiteTony Pollard
2024-10-17-53%Nick Chubb, Jaxon Smith-NjigbaDK Metcalf
2024-06-15-105%Tucker KraftTravis Kelce, Aaron Rodgers
2024-05-04-46%Joe Mixon
2023-12-03-26%Tee Higgins, Isaiah Likely, 1 3rd1 2nd
2023-11-17-76%Joshua Dobbs, 1 2nd
2023-04-26-8%Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle, Quay WalkerJerome Baker, Tua Tagovailoa, 2 later picks

Read each row as: Deebo Samuel, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyreek Hill plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deebo Samuel; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -23.8% from the side that received Deebo Samuel, so the side ending up with Tyreek Hill has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deebo Samuel for Tyreek Hill fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deebo Samuel trade · Every Tyreek Hill trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms