Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence have been on opposite sides of 26 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Deshaun Watson for Trevor Lawrence, nothing else changing hands.
In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 5 to 5 between the Deshaun Watson side and the Trevor Lawrence side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deshaun Watson prices at 37 and Trevor Lawrence at 2,545, so the market currently rates Trevor Lawrence about 68.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Deshaun Watson | Went with Trevor Lawrence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | -174% | Dillon Gabriel, Shedeur Sanders, 3 3rds, 2 later picks | Jordan Addison, 1 later pick |
| 2025-09-18 | -22% | Jayden Higgins, 3 1sts | Saquon Barkley, 2 3rds |
| 2024-10-25 | -0% | Jameis Winston, Stefon Diggs, Josh Jacobs, 1 more | Keon Coleman, Tank Bigsby, Will Levis, 1 1st, 2 2nds |
| 2024-09-10 | -112% | — | — |
| 2024-09-03 | +18% | Chris Olave | — |
| 2024-06-17 | -50% | Alvin Kamara, Kendre Miller | — |
| 2024-05-16 | -65% | Diontae Johnson, 1 later pick | — |
| 2024-05-14 | -32% | 1 1st | — |
| 2024-03-20 | -76% | Amari Cooper, Curtis Samuel | Noah Fant, Rashod Bateman, 2 3rds |
| 2023-10-07 | -47% | Alec Pierce, Skyy Moore, 1 2nd | 1 3rd |
Read each row as: Deshaun Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trevor Lawrence plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deshaun Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 26, the whole-deal value gap runs -23.9% from the side that received Deshaun Watson, so the side ending up with Trevor Lawrence has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Deshaun Watson for Trevor Lawrence fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 26 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Deshaun Watson trade · Every Trevor Lawrence trade
All players with real trade data →