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Is DeVonta Smith for Joe Burrow fair?

DeVonta Smith and Joe Burrow have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the DeVonta Smith side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 0
One side sweetened: DeVonta Smith / Joe Burrow

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today DeVonta Smith prices at 5,020 and Joe Burrow at 3,751, so the market currently rates DeVonta Smith about 1.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with DeVonta SmithWent with Joe Burrow
2026-05-10-7%2 1sts1 3rd
2025-11-08+2%Justin Herbert, Kenneth WalkerCam Skattebo, Travis Hunter
2025-10-28-19%Marvin Harrison, Dak Prescott, Chase BrownAshton Jeanty, Jaylen Waddle
2025-07-03-23%J.J. McCarthy, 1 2ndDeebo Samuel, 1 3rd
2024-09-27-17%Roschon Johnson, Kyler Murray, Zay Flowers, 1 2ndIsaac Guerendo, Jake Browning, Tee Higgins, 1 more, 1 1st
2024-07-01+4%Antonio Gibson, Jahmyr Gibbs, Anthony Richardson, 2 later picksJaylen Wright, Chris Olave, De'Von Achane
2024-02-10+12%Stefon Diggs, D'Andre Swift, Jalen HurtsJa'Marr Chase, Cade Otton
2023-11-28-9%Travis Kelce, Joshua Dobbs, Michael Gallup, 4 moreRobert Woods, Jimmy Garoppolo, Michael Thomas, 4 more
2023-11-19-9%Jayden Reed, Odell Beckham, Bryce Young1 later pick
2023-11-17-27%Tommy DeVito, Russell Wilson, Zach CharbonnetZay Jones

Read each row as: DeVonta Smith, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Burrow plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received DeVonta Smith; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs -6.6% from the side that received DeVonta Smith, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is DeVonta Smith for Joe Burrow fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every DeVonta Smith trade · Every Joe Burrow trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms