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Is DeVonta Smith for Tyreek Hill fair?

DeVonta Smith and Tyreek Hill have been on opposite sides of 33 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 6 times it was the DeVonta Smith side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyreek Hill as the more valuable of the two.

33
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
6 / 0
One side sweetened: DeVonta Smith / Tyreek Hill

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today DeVonta Smith prices at 5,020 and Tyreek Hill at 453, so the market currently rates DeVonta Smith about 11.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with DeVonta SmithWent with Tyreek Hill
2026-06-22+45%MarShawn Lloyd, Tyrone Tracy, Jordan James, 9 more, 1 2ndChris Rodriguez, Omarion Hampton, Cooper Kupp, 6 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-05-22-39%Baker Mayfield, Josh Hines-Allen, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 2 later picksChris Olave, C.J. Stroud, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-05-11-18%David Njoku, Kenneth Walker, 2 2nds, 1 3rdJonnu Smith, Josh Jacobs, 1 1st
2025-04-10+9%1 1stDavante Adams, Terry McLaurin
2025-02-25-7%Joe BurrowGeno Smith, Matthew Stafford, George Kittle, 2 more, 1 3rd
2025-02-13+15%George PickensDK Metcalf
2024-06-21-11%Mark Andrews, D'Andre Swift, 1 2ndDallas Goedert, Travis Etienne, Tank Bigsby
2024-06-08+1%Amari Cooper, 1 2ndZack Moss
2024-05-03+43%Breece Hall, Jelani Woods, 1 1stMarvin Mims, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-02-09-29%David Njoku, Baker Mayfield, Justin HerbertJosh Allen, 1 2nd, 1 3rd

Read each row as: DeVonta Smith, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyreek Hill plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received DeVonta Smith; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 33, the whole-deal value gap runs -7.5% from the side that received DeVonta Smith, so the side ending up with Tyreek Hill has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is DeVonta Smith for Tyreek Hill fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 33 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every DeVonta Smith trade · Every Tyreek Hill trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms