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Is DK Metcalf for Kyler Murray fair?

DK Metcalf and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: DK Metcalf for Kyler Murray, nothing else changing hands.

In 1 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 0 between the DK Metcalf side and the Kyler Murray side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
1 / 0
One side sweetened: DK Metcalf / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today DK Metcalf prices at 2,285 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates DK Metcalf about 4.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with DK MetcalfWent with Kyler Murray
2025-12-17-43%Darren WallerTory Horton
2025-11-14-74%Michael PenixRashee Rice
2025-10-30+14%Amon-Ra St. BrownOronde Gadsden, Jaylen Waddle, 1 later pick
2025-07-04-34%Baker Mayfield, Sean Tucker, Tyjae SpearsJames Conner, A.J. Brown
2025-06-01-23%Terrance Ferguson, Tua TagovailoaJalen Royals, Calvin Ridley
2025-05-14-33%Russell Wilson, Davante Adams, Derrick Henry, 6 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pickRome Odunze, Jaylen Wright, Mark Andrews, 6 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-03-19+9%Caleb Williams, 2 1sts, 1 2ndMalik Nabers, 1 1st
2024-11-03+34%Anthony Richardson, 1 2ndTyrone Tracy
2024-07-20-5%Ladd McConkey, Kirk Cousins, Amari Cooper, 1 moreAudric Estime, Jalen Tolbert, George Pickens
2024-06-25-0%Amari Cooper, Brock PurdyTyrone Tracy, Mike Williams, Nico Collins, 2 3rds

Read each row as: DK Metcalf, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received DK Metcalf; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -3.8% from the side that received DK Metcalf, so the side ending up with Kyler Murray has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is DK Metcalf for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every DK Metcalf trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms