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Is Ezekiel Elliott for James Conner fair?

Ezekiel Elliott and James Conner have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Ezekiel Elliott for James Conner, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the James Conner side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Ezekiel Elliott as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
2 / 3
One side sweetened: Ezekiel Elliott / James Conner
Grade Ezekiel Elliott for James Conner now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Ezekiel ElliottWent with James Conner
2024-09-05-156%
2024-08-27-46%Jakobi Meyers
2023-09-01+116%Jaylen Waddle, 1 1stRaheem Mostert, Calvin Ridley, 1 3rd
2023-09-01-142%Tyler Conklin
2023-08-17+49%Zach Ertz, Nick Chubb, Deuce Vaughn, 1 moreJayden Reed, Rashee Rice, Kirk Cousins, 2 more, 1 3rd
2022-11-20+88%1 1stZach Ertz
2022-11-16+70%Devin Duvernay, Wan'Dale Robinson
2022-10-23-17%Nyheim Miller-Hines
2022-09-29-48%Cordarrelle Patterson, Michael Thomas, Curtis SamuelKirk Cousins, Tyler Higbee, Chase Claypool, 1 2nd
2022-09-08+4%Stefon Diggs, Jacoby BrissettDeebo Samuel, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Ezekiel Elliott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for James Conner plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +8.8% from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott, so the side ending up with Ezekiel Elliott has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Ezekiel Elliott for James Conner fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Ezekiel Elliott trade · Every James Conner trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms