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Is Geno Smith for Terry McLaurin fair?

Geno Smith and Terry McLaurin have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Geno Smith for Terry McLaurin, nothing else changing hands.

In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 3 between the Geno Smith side and the Terry McLaurin side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

20
Deals they were both in
3
Straight up, one for one
3 / 3
One side sweetened: Geno Smith / Terry McLaurin

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Geno Smith prices at 59 and Terry McLaurin at 1,768, so the market currently rates Terry McLaurin about 30.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Geno SmithWent with Terry McLaurin
2026-07-22-88%Devontez Walker, Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, 14 moreJames Conner, Tucker Kraft, Andrei Iosivas, 15 more, 1 later pick
2025-11-03-49%Deebo Samuel, Zonovan KnightKayshon Boutte, 1 2nd
2025-07-29-54%Keon Coleman, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pickDK Metcalf, Tua Tagovailoa, 1 3rd
2025-05-18-1%Jaylen Waddle, 2 1sts, 1 2ndRussell Wilson, Saquon Barkley
2025-04-30-55%1 1st, 1 3rdSaquon Barkley
2024-09-21-29%Samaje Perine, Austin Ekeler, 1 later pick
2024-08-26-77%
2024-06-26-128%Tyjae Spears
2024-04-14+55%Tyreek Hill, David NjokuJakobi Meyers, 1 1st, 2 2nds
2024-03-11+10%Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, Alvin Kamara, 1 3rdT.J. Hockenson, Kyle Pitts, 1 1st

Read each row as: Geno Smith, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Terry McLaurin plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Geno Smith; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -47.8% from the side that received Geno Smith, so the side ending up with Terry McLaurin has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Geno Smith for Terry McLaurin fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Geno Smith trade · Every Terry McLaurin trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms