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Is George Pickens for Tee Higgins fair?

George Pickens and Tee Higgins have been on opposite sides of 37 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 12 times it was the George Pickens side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tee Higgins as the more valuable of the two.

37
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
11 / 1
One side sweetened: George Pickens / Tee Higgins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today George Pickens prices at 4,858 and Tee Higgins at 3,613, so the market currently rates George Pickens about 1.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with George PickensWent with Tee Higgins
2025-09-27-45%Jakobi Meyers, De'Von AchaneCedric Tillman, Ashton Jeanty, Kyle Williams, 1 more
2025-09-13-12%Ray Davis, Jordan Addison, 1 3rdElic Ayomanor, Travis Kelce
2025-09-05+6%DK Metcalf, Jahmyr Gibbs, 2 2nds, 2 later picksJonathan Taylor
2025-08-17-60%1 2nd, 2 3rds
2025-08-16-47%Michael Penix, Ja'Lynn Polk, Jayden Higgins, 1 1st, 1 2ndJoe Burrow
2025-08-11-76%1 3rd, 1 later pickRay-Ray McCloud
2025-06-27-30%Roschon Johnson, Jarquez Hunter, Davante Adams, 1 moreIsiah Pacheco, 1 1st
2025-06-09+53%C.J. Stroud, 1 1st1 2nd
2025-05-30-84%Devin Neal
2025-05-28+15%Chuba Hubbard, Kenneth Walker, 1 1stAlvin Kamara, Deebo Samuel, Isiah Pacheco, 1 2nd, 1 3rd

Read each row as: George Pickens, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tee Higgins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received George Pickens; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 37, the whole-deal value gap runs -29.6% from the side that received George Pickens, so the side ending up with Tee Higgins has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is George Pickens for Tee Higgins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 37 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every George Pickens trade · Every Tee Higgins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms