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Is Jake Ferguson for Kyle Pitts fair?

Jake Ferguson and Kyle Pitts have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 2 between the Jake Ferguson side and the Kyle Pitts side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
2 / 2
One side sweetened: Jake Ferguson / Kyle Pitts

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jake Ferguson prices at 978 and Kyle Pitts at 2,700, so the market currently rates Kyle Pitts about 2.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jake FergusonWent with Kyle Pitts
2026-07-24-98%2 2nds1 3rd, 1 later pick
2026-07-04-28%DeVonta Smith, 1 2ndA.J. Brown
2026-05-13-65%1 3rd
2026-05-11-6%RJ Harvey1 2nd
2025-11-20-25%Ja'Lynn Polk, Kendre Miller
2025-09-12-52%Jacory Croskey-MerrittTre' Harris, 1 3rd
2025-06-13+15%Trevor Lawrence, Drake London, 1 1stJosh Allen
2025-05-25-8%Jakobi Meyers, Jameson Williams, Michael MayerBrandon Aiyuk, 1 3rd
2025-04-27+21%Bo Nix, Garrett Wilson2 1sts, 2 2nds
2025-04-20-90%Chris Godwin, Elijah Mitchell1 1st

Read each row as: Jake Ferguson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyle Pitts plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jake Ferguson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -26.6% from the side that received Jake Ferguson, so the side ending up with Kyle Pitts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jake Ferguson for Kyle Pitts fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jake Ferguson trade · Every Kyle Pitts trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms