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Is Jake Ferguson for Tucker Kraft fair?

Jake Ferguson and Tucker Kraft have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Jake Ferguson for Tucker Kraft, nothing else changing hands.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 0 between the Jake Ferguson side and the Tucker Kraft side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
3 / 0
One side sweetened: Jake Ferguson / Tucker Kraft

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jake Ferguson prices at 641 and Tucker Kraft at 2,994, so the market currently rates Tucker Kraft about 4.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jake FergusonWent with Tucker Kraft
2026-09-01+12%Bo Nix, T.J. HockensonKyler Murray
2026-08-23+10%Tyler Shough, 1 2ndDe'Zhaun Stribling
2026-06-29-44%Michael Wilson1 2nd
2026-04-28-63%Rashid Shaheed
2026-04-27-33%Bhayshul Tuten, Jaylen Waddle, 1 2ndGarrett Wilson, 1 2nd
2026-04-26-20%Chig Okonkwo, C.J. StroudTre' Harris, 1 1st, 1 later pick
2026-04-05+36%CeeDee LambEmeka Egbuka
2026-02-06+32%1 2nd
2025-12-09-62%Pat FreiermuthBraelon Allen, Luke Musgrave
2025-11-19+13%Saquon Barkley1 1st, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Jake Ferguson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tucker Kraft plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jake Ferguson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -19.6% from the side that received Jake Ferguson, so the side ending up with Tucker Kraft has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jake Ferguson for Tucker Kraft fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jake Ferguson trade · Every Tucker Kraft trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms