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Is Jaxson Dart for Tyler Shough fair?

Jaxson Dart and Tyler Shough have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 6 times it was the Tyler Shough side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jaxson Dart as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 6
One side sweetened: Jaxson Dart / Tyler Shough

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jaxson Dart prices at 1,871 and Tyler Shough at 554, so the market currently rates Jaxson Dart about 3.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Jaxson DartWent with Tyler Shough
2026-08-28+49%Jonah ColemanCam Skattebo
2026-08-23-5%Dalton Schultz, Jahmyr GibbsJacory Croskey-Merritt, Kyler Murray, Justin Jefferson, 1 more
2026-08-13+32%Jayden Reed, 1 3rd, 1 later pickSaquon Barkley, 1 2nd
2026-08-04+34%Oronde Gadsden, Ashton Jeanty, Eli StowersLuther Burden, Trey McBride
2026-07-01+58%Jalen Coker, Derrick Henry, 1 3rdQuinshon Judkins, Jake Golday
2026-06-29+86%1 3rd, 1 later pickRhamondre Stevenson, 1 2nd
2026-06-27+32%Jaylin Noel, 1 3rdCam Ward, 1 2nd
2026-06-25+64%Oronde Gadsden
2026-06-10+17%Jordyn Tyson
2026-05-28+40%1 1st

Read each row as: Jaxson Dart, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyler Shough plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jaxson Dart; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +37.4% from the side that received Jaxson Dart, so the side ending up with Jaxson Dart has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Jaxson Dart for Tyler Shough fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Jaxson Dart trade · Every Tyler Shough trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms