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Is Joe Burrow for Kirk Cousins fair?

Joe Burrow and Kirk Cousins have been on opposite sides of 27 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 9 times it was the Kirk Cousins side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

27
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 9
One side sweetened: Joe Burrow / Kirk Cousins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Joe Burrow prices at 3,751 and Kirk Cousins at 25, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 150.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Joe BurrowWent with Kirk Cousins
2026-04-06+2%Isaiah Likely, Will Levis, 1 2nd2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-10-21-17%Stefon Diggs, Wan'Dale Robinson, 1 1stAmon-Ra St. Brown, Zay Flowers
2024-09-09+38%2 3rds2 1sts
2024-08-13+107%Joe Milton, Drake Maye, 2 2ndsKeon Coleman, Baker Mayfield
2024-05-31+8%Zamir White, 1 2ndMichael Penix, Drake London, Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2024-04-13+24%Daniel Jones, 1 1st, 1 later pick
2024-03-01+10%Cedric Tillman, Tyler Lockett, Jalin Hyatt, 1 2ndMatthew Stafford, Jerome Ford, Tank Dell, 1 1st
2023-12-02+42%Geno Smith, Aaron Jones, 1 1st
2023-10-23-52%Romeo DoubsDeVonta Smith
2023-10-06+72%1 1st

Read each row as: Joe Burrow, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kirk Cousins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Joe Burrow; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 27, the whole-deal value gap runs +29.2% from the side that received Joe Burrow, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Joe Burrow for Kirk Cousins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 27 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Joe Burrow trade · Every Kirk Cousins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms