Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford have been on opposite sides of 31 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 13 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 13 of those 13 times it was the Matthew Stafford side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Joe Burrow prices at 3,751 and Matthew Stafford at 371, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 10.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Joe Burrow | Went with Matthew Stafford |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | +3% | — | 2 1sts |
| 2025-10-18 | +44% | — | Christian McCaffrey, Cooper Kupp |
| 2025-10-16 | +76% | — | Joe Flacco, Alvin Kamara, Chuba Hubbard |
| 2025-07-31 | +59% | — | 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2025-06-11 | +118% | — | Jalen McMillan, 1 2nd |
| 2025-03-20 | +44% | J.K. Dobbins, Zay Flowers | Sam Darnold, Nico Collins, Justin Fields |
| 2025-02-25 | -7% | DeVonta Smith | Geno Smith, Tyreek Hill, George Kittle, 2 more, 1 3rd |
| 2024-10-27 | +14% | Dallas Goedert, Jakobi Meyers, 1 2nd | Brian Thomas, Kyren Williams |
| 2024-10-06 | +15% | Zay Flowers, 1 2nd, 2 3rds | Keenan Allen, Derek Carr, DJ Moore, 2 more |
| 2024-08-09 | +20% | 1 3rd | Jonathan Taylor, Zach Charbonnet |
Read each row as: Joe Burrow, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Matthew Stafford plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Joe Burrow; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 31, the whole-deal value gap runs +30.3% from the side that received Joe Burrow, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Joe Burrow for Matthew Stafford fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 31 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Joe Burrow trade · Every Matthew Stafford trade
All players with real trade data →