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Is Joe Burrow for Michael Pittman fair?

Joe Burrow and Michael Pittman have been on opposite sides of 30 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 6 times it was the Michael Pittman side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

30
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 5
One side sweetened: Joe Burrow / Michael Pittman

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Joe Burrow prices at 3,751 and Michael Pittman at 1,819, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 2.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Joe BurrowWent with Michael Pittman
2026-06-17-4%J.K. DobbinsCaleb Williams, 1 3rd
2025-12-19+25%DJ Moore, Kayshon BoutteMalik Washington, Jaxson Dart, David Njoku
2025-10-10+22%Cam Skattebo, Garrett WilsonJosh Allen, D'Andre Swift
2025-10-07+56%Michael Mayer, 1 2ndJosh Jacobs, Daniel Jones
2025-10-02+43%Michael Penix, Cam Skattebo, 2 1sts
2025-09-25+16%1 2ndDavante Adams, Jordan Love
2025-09-24+3%Jayden Higgins, Travis HunterNico Collins, C.J. Stroud
2025-09-21+42%Luke McCaffrey, Isaiah BondMichael Penix, DJ Moore
2025-02-25-7%DeVonta SmithGeno Smith, Tyreek Hill, Matthew Stafford, 2 more, 1 3rd
2024-08-18-18%Amari Cooper, 1 1stTua Tagovailoa, Garrett Wilson

Read each row as: Joe Burrow, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Michael Pittman plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Joe Burrow; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 30, the whole-deal value gap runs +18.1% from the side that received Joe Burrow, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Joe Burrow for Michael Pittman fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 30 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Joe Burrow trade · Every Michael Pittman trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms