Josh Allen and Russell Wilson have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 6 times it was the Russell Wilson side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with Josh Allen | Went with Russell Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | -21% | CeeDee Lamb, Chris Godwin, Zach Ertz, 16 more, 1 1st, 2 2nds, 1 later pick | Jacob Cowing, Sam Darnold, Isaiah Davis, 15 more, 1 3rd |
| 2026-02-15 | +19% | Jerry Jeudy, Efton Chism, Rachaad White, 17 more | Devontez Walker, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones, 15 more, 1 1st |
| 2025-01-12 | +77% | Jacob Cowing, T.J. Hockenson, Chris Godwin, 20 more, 2 3rds, 1 later pick | Jauan Jennings, Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Wilson, 15 more, 1 later pick |
| 2024-12-03 | +36% | — | Christian McCaffrey, Chris Godwin, Justin Fields |
| 2024-09-19 | -38% | 1 3rd | DJ Moore, Aaron Rodgers, 2 1sts |
| 2024-04-28 | +1% | 1 later pick | Davante Adams, 2 1sts, 1 2nd |
| 2023-11-16 | +78% | — | Rico Dowdle, 1 1st, 1 3rd |
| 2023-05-30 | +61% | — | Evan Engram, Courtland Sutton, Michael Pittman, 2 3rds |
| 2023-05-23 | -19% | 1 2nd | Nick Chubb, 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2023-02-28 | +10% | 1 3rd | Noah Fant, 2 1sts |
Read each row as: Josh Allen, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Russell Wilson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Allen; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -4.2% from the side that received Josh Allen, so the side ending up with Russell Wilson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Josh Allen for Russell Wilson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Josh Allen trade · Every Russell Wilson trade
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