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Is Josh Jacobs for Kyler Murray fair?

Josh Jacobs and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

There is no deal here where only one side had to sweeten, so nothing on this page says which of the two the market rates higher.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 0
One side sweetened: Josh Jacobs / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Josh Jacobs prices at 1,583 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates Josh Jacobs about 3.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Josh JacobsWent with Kyler Murray
2026-06-22+45%MarShawn Lloyd, Tyrone Tracy, Jordan James, 9 more, 1 2ndChris Rodriguez, Omarion Hampton, Tyreek Hill, 6 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-03-27+5%Puka NacuaMike Evans, Derrick Henry, Isiah Pacheco, 1 more, 2 3rds
2025-11-16+6%Justin Herbert, 1 3rdKimani Vidal, 2 1sts, 1 2nd
2025-11-06+2%Mike Evans, Lamar Jackson, Zay FlowersMarvin Harrison, TreVeyon Henderson, Marvin Mims, 2 1sts
2025-05-17-8%Joe Mixon, Alvin Kamara, T.J. Hockenson, 1 moreMarvin Harrison, George Pickens, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-05-05+8%Trevor LawrenceDavid Montgomery, 1 3rd
2025-04-29+4%Drake LondonZach Ertz, Derrick Henry
2025-03-01-8%Trevor LawrenceMichael Pittman, Cade Otton
2024-10-03-40%Emanuel Wilson, J.J. McCarthy, Keon Coleman, 5 moreBraelon Allen, Joe Mixon, Cooper Kupp, 6 more, 1 3rd
2024-06-22+17%Bo Nix, Aaron Jones, 1 1st, 1 2ndDontayvion Wicks

Read each row as: Josh Jacobs, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Jacobs; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.4% from the side that received Josh Jacobs, so the side ending up with Josh Jacobs has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Josh Jacobs for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Josh Jacobs trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms