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Is Justin Jefferson for Michael Pittman fair?

Justin Jefferson and Michael Pittman have been on opposite sides of 26 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the Michael Pittman side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Justin Jefferson as the more valuable of the two.

26
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 8
One side sweetened: Justin Jefferson / Michael Pittman

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Justin Jefferson prices at 9,205 and Michael Pittman at 1,819, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 5.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Justin JeffersonWent with Michael Pittman
2026-07-01+1%Tetairoa McMillan, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2026-05-07+19%Jayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Lamar Jackson, 10 moreD'Andre Swift, DeMario Douglas, Jalen Nailor, 10 more
2025-11-12+33%Tory Horton, T.J. Hockenson, 1 1st, 1 2ndDallas Goedert, Jahmyr Gibbs, Tank Bigsby
2025-10-27+6%Isaiah Bond, Dont'e Thornton, 1 2ndJaylen Waddle, Garrett Wilson
2025-02-08+28%1 1stJayden Daniels
2024-09-15-0%2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-08-21+1%Drew LockAmari Cooper, Noah Brown, Antonio Gibson, 2 more
2024-06-01+7%2 1sts, 2 2nds
2024-05-03-15%Alvin Kamara, Isaiah LikelyDe'Von Achane, 2 1sts, 1 3rd
2024-02-03+5%Jonathan Taylor, 1 1stKeenan Allen, Cooper Kupp, Tua Tagovailoa, 1 1st, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Justin Jefferson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Michael Pittman plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Justin Jefferson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 26, the whole-deal value gap runs +12.7% from the side that received Justin Jefferson, so the side ending up with Justin Jefferson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Justin Jefferson for Michael Pittman fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 26 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Justin Jefferson trade · Every Michael Pittman trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms