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Is Justin Jefferson for Terry McLaurin fair?

Justin Jefferson and Terry McLaurin have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 0 to 3 between the Justin Jefferson side and the Terry McLaurin side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

25
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 3
One side sweetened: Justin Jefferson / Terry McLaurin

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Justin Jefferson prices at 9,205 and Terry McLaurin at 1,768, so the market currently rates Justin Jefferson about 5.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Justin JeffersonWent with Terry McLaurin
2026-04-13+28%Jonathan Taylor
2026-03-13+56%Stefon DiggsLuther Burden, Jakobi Meyers
2026-02-12+14%Alvin Kamara, 1 3rd2 1sts
2025-11-30+17%Cam Skattebo, Kenneth WalkerTreVeyon Henderson, Nico Collins
2025-06-05-18%Chuba HubbardBijan Robinson, 1 1st
2024-10-12+8%3 1sts
2024-06-01+30%2 1sts, 1 3rd
2023-10-17+26%Justin FieldsJalen Hurts
2023-08-11-37%Jaelan PhillipsGarrett Wilson, Quay Walker, 2 1sts
2023-05-14+11%Noah FantDeVonta Smith, Kylen Granson, 1 1st

Read each row as: Justin Jefferson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Terry McLaurin plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Justin Jefferson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs +13.7% from the side that received Justin Jefferson, so the side ending up with Justin Jefferson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Justin Jefferson for Terry McLaurin fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Justin Jefferson trade · Every Terry McLaurin trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms