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Is Keenan Allen for Michael Gallup fair?

Keenan Allen and Michael Gallup have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 9 of those 9 times it was the Michael Gallup side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Keenan Allen as the more valuable of the two.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 9
One side sweetened: Keenan Allen / Michael Gallup
Grade Keenan Allen for Michael Gallup now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Keenan AllenWent with Michael Gallup
2023-11-16-20%Chris Godwin, Zach Wilson
2023-02-19+28%1 3rdBrock Purdy, 1 later pick
2022-11-15+35%Ryan Tannehill, Kendall Fuller, O.J. Howard, 2 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pickEric Kendricks, Chuck Clark, Daniel Jones, 3 more
2022-10-30+54%1 2nd
2022-09-26+55%Jonathan TaylorCourtland Sutton, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, James Robinson
2022-08-23+46%Nyheim Miller-Hines, Trey McBrideCurtis Samuel, Pat Freiermuth, 1 3rd
2022-08-11-3%Corey Davis, 1 2ndAllen Robinson, Christian Kirk
2022-06-03+29%Damien Harris
2022-03-26-19%Josh Jacobs, Myles Gaskin, 1 3rdGerald Everett, Justin Jackson, Antonio Gibson
2022-02-21-28%Diontae Johnson, AJ Dillon, Brevin JordanGeorge Kittle, Ronald Jones, Russell Gage, 2 more, 1 1st, 2 3rds

Read each row as: Keenan Allen, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Michael Gallup plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Keenan Allen; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +29.1% from the side that received Keenan Allen, so the side ending up with Keenan Allen has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Keenan Allen for Michael Gallup fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Keenan Allen trade · Every Michael Gallup trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms