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Is Kenny Pickett for Kirk Cousins fair?

Kenny Pickett and Kirk Cousins have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Kenny Pickett for Kirk Cousins, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Kenny Pickett side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kirk Cousins as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
4 / 2
One side sweetened: Kenny Pickett / Kirk Cousins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kenny Pickett prices at 3 and Kirk Cousins at 30, so the market currently rates Kirk Cousins about 10.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kenny PickettWent with Kirk Cousins
2026-06-23+114%Jonathon Brooks, Jeremy McNichols, Skyy Moore
2026-04-28+49%Julian Hill, MarShawn Lloyd, George Holani, 7 more, 1 1st, 1 2ndBlake Corum, Elijah Moore, Cade Otton, 7 more
2025-05-30-13%Bucky Irving, Jerry Jeudy, Devin Singletary, 14 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pickAudric Estime, Jahan Dotson, Zach Wilson, 11 more, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2024-03-26+3%Trey McBrideTucker Kraft, Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2023-11-01-104%Gus EdwardsJayden Reed, 1 2nd
2023-10-29+17%Josh Downs, 1 1st, 1 2ndBrandin Cooks, Dallas Goedert
2023-10-18-12%Mitchell Trubisky, Darnell Mooney, Pat FreiermuthHayden Hurst
2023-10-07-6%Trevor Lawrence, Tyjae SpearsJoe Burrow, 1 3rd
2023-10-04+92%1 1st, 4 later picks
2023-09-13+83%Mark Andrews, Nico CollinsDalton Kincaid

Read each row as: Kenny Pickett, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kirk Cousins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kenny Pickett; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -12.6% from the side that received Kenny Pickett, so the side ending up with Kirk Cousins has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kenny Pickett for Kirk Cousins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kenny Pickett trade · Every Kirk Cousins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms