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Is Lamar Jackson for Patrick Mahomes fair?

Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 47 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Lamar Jackson for Patrick Mahomes, nothing else changing hands.

In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 6 to 6 between the Lamar Jackson side and the Patrick Mahomes side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

47
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
6 / 6
One side sweetened: Lamar Jackson / Patrick Mahomes

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Lamar Jackson prices at 4,824 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,309, so the market currently rates Lamar Jackson about 1.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Lamar JacksonWent with Patrick Mahomes
2026-07-09+5%1 3rd1 2nd
2026-05-12+6%Rashid ShaheedJaydon Blue
2026-03-03-23%Jordan JamesTank Bigsby, 1 2nd
2025-12-18-34%Davante Adams, Deebo SamuelBrian Thomas, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 1 3rd
2025-12-17-36%T.J. Hockenson, Deebo Samuel, Chase BrownRomeo Doubs, Breece Hall, Darnell Washington, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-06-30-32%Emeka Egbuka, Tucker Kraft, 1 2ndJalen Royals, Jake Ferguson, Chris Olave, 1 more, 2 1sts, 1 3rd
2025-06-20+11%Saquon BarkleyMichael Penix, Quinshon Judkins, Isaiah Likely
2025-06-05-16%1 1st, 1 later pick
2025-05-02-17%1 1st
2025-04-15-19%1 1st

Read each row as: Lamar Jackson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Lamar Jackson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 47, the whole-deal value gap runs -5.9% from the side that received Lamar Jackson, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Lamar Jackson for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 47 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Lamar Jackson trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms