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Is Brian Thomas for Nico Collins fair?

Brian Thomas and Nico Collins have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Brian Thomas for Nico Collins, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 10 times it was the Brian Thomas side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Nico Collins as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
7 / 3
One side sweetened: Brian Thomas / Nico Collins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brian Thomas prices at 2,662 and Nico Collins at 6,188, so the market currently rates Nico Collins about 2.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brian ThomasWent with Nico Collins
2026-06-05-14%Dalton Kincaid, George Kittle, 1 1st, 2 2ndsEmanuel Wilson, David Njoku, A.J. Brown, 1 more
2026-06-03-12%1 1st
2026-05-15-49%George KittleJuwan Johnson
2026-04-09-24%Jayden Higgins
2026-02-18-1%Pat Bryant, Lamar Jackson, J.K. Dobbins, 1 moreSam Darnold, A.J. Brown, Javonte Williams, 1 more
2025-12-07-16%Adonai Mitchell, 1 later pick
2025-11-14+32%Justin Jefferson, 1 1st, 1 3rdJayden Reed, Jahmyr Gibbs
2025-11-12-10%1 1st, 1 2ndTee Higgins
2025-10-30-21%1 1st, 1 2ndJaylen Waddle, 1 3rd
2025-10-12+28%Derrick Henry

Read each row as: Brian Thomas, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Nico Collins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brian Thomas; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -12.5% from the side that received Brian Thomas, so the side ending up with Nico Collins has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brian Thomas for Nico Collins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brian Thomas trade · Every Nico Collins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms