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Is Bryce Young for Tua Tagovailoa fair?

Bryce Young and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 4 of them were straight up: Bryce Young for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 1 between the Bryce Young side and the Tua Tagovailoa side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
4
Straight up, one for one
2 / 1
One side sweetened: Bryce Young / Tua Tagovailoa

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Bryce Young prices at 348 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Bryce Young about 2.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Bryce YoungWent with Tua Tagovailoa
2026-06-04+104%Cedric Tillman, Sam LaPorta, Isaiah Davis, 14 moreTrey Benson, Devaughn Vele, Phil Mafah, 7 more, 2 2nds, 1 3rd, 2 later picks
2025-11-15-55%
2025-10-24-48%Woody Marks, Evan Engram, Aaron Jones, 1 more, 1 1st, 1 2ndNoah Fant, Jahmyr Gibbs, 1 later pick
2025-08-23-18%Cedric Tillman, Dalvin Cook, Sam Darnold, 1 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 later pickKyle Williams, Keenan Allen, Jared Goff, 3 more
2025-07-09-49%Tetairoa McMillan, Rachaad WhitePuka Nacua
2025-07-06+22%Kaleb Johnson, Deebo Samuel, Chris Olave, 1 3rdJayden Higgins, Emeka Egbuka, 1 2nd
2025-03-26-37%
2024-10-18-11%Jordan Addison
2024-09-20-130%1 3rd
2024-09-13-84%

Read each row as: Bryce Young, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Bryce Young; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -28.8% from the side that received Bryce Young, so the side ending up with Tua Tagovailoa has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Bryce Young for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Bryce Young trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms