Matthew Stafford and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 41 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Matthew Stafford for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 7 times it was the Matthew Stafford side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tua Tagovailoa as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Matthew Stafford prices at 371 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Matthew Stafford about 3.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Matthew Stafford | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | +58% | Travis Kelce, Terry McLaurin, D'Andre Swift | Xavier Worthy, Justin Joly, Jordan Mason, 1 2nd |
| 2026-05-09 | -16% | Tee Higgins | 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2025-11-22 | +6% | Travis Kelce | — |
| 2025-11-21 | +6% | Travis Kelce | — |
| 2025-11-19 | +58% | Jakobi Meyers, 1 later pick | Adonai Mitchell, 1 2nd |
| 2025-11-14 | -6% | Saquon Barkley, 1 3rd | RJ Harvey, 1 1st |
| 2025-11-09 | -67% | Kareem Hunt | Jerry Jeudy |
| 2025-11-05 | +4% | Dalton Kincaid, David Montgomery, Kenneth Walker | Woody Marks, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2025-09-27 | +28% | Chase Brown | Kaleb Johnson |
| 2025-08-26 | -72% | Kareem Hunt, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick | Dillon Gabriel, Joe Flacco |
Read each row as: Matthew Stafford, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Matthew Stafford; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 41, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.0% from the side that received Matthew Stafford - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Matthew Stafford for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 41 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Matthew Stafford trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
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