Daniel Jones and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 48 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Daniel Jones for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 17 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 13 of those 17 times it was the Daniel Jones side (4 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tua Tagovailoa as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Daniel Jones prices at 349 and Tua Tagovailoa at 59, so the market currently rates Daniel Jones about 5.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Daniel Jones | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | +43% | 1 later pick | — |
| 2025-11-05 | +13% | Keenan Allen, Derrick Henry, Courtland Sutton, 1 2nd | Luke McCaffrey, Cam Skattebo, 1 1st |
| 2025-10-03 | -8% | Bryce Young | David Montgomery |
| 2025-09-27 | -112% | — | Tre' Harris |
| 2025-09-23 | -101% | 1 3rd | Dallas Goedert |
| 2025-09-14 | -142% | Juwan Johnson | Kyle Pitts |
| 2025-09-12 | -132% | 1 later pick | — |
| 2025-09-12 | -109% | Zach Ertz, Nick Chubb, Marquise Brown | 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick |
| 2025-09-08 | -133% | — | — |
| 2025-06-15 | -4% | Joe Milton, Michael Wilson, Puka Nacua, 12 more | Kayshon Boutte, Allen Lazard, Sean Tucker, 9 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 3 later picks |
Read each row as: Daniel Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Daniel Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 48, the whole-deal value gap runs -18.0% from the side that received Daniel Jones, so the side ending up with Tua Tagovailoa has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Daniel Jones for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 48 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Daniel Jones trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
All players with real trade data →