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Is Daniel Jones for Tua Tagovailoa fair?

Daniel Jones and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 43 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Daniel Jones for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 14 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 10 of those 14 times it was the Daniel Jones side (4 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tua Tagovailoa as the more valuable of the two.

43
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
10 / 4
One side sweetened: Daniel Jones / Tua Tagovailoa

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Daniel Jones prices at 324 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Daniel Jones about 2.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Daniel JonesWent with Tua Tagovailoa
2026-07-20+10%1 3rd
2025-11-13-6%Oronde Gadsden, Chase BrownDillon Gabriel, 2 1sts, 1 2nd
2025-11-05+13%Keenan Allen, Derrick Henry, Courtland Sutton, 1 2ndLuke McCaffrey, Cam Skattebo, 1 1st
2025-09-23-101%1 3rdDallas Goedert
2025-09-17-114%1 2ndRussell Wilson, Juwan Johnson
2025-09-14-142%Juwan JohnsonKyle Pitts
2025-09-12-132%1 later pick
2025-09-12-109%Zach Ertz, Nick Chubb, Marquise Brown1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-09-08-133%
2025-06-15-4%Joe Milton, Michael Wilson, Puka Nacua, 12 moreKayshon Boutte, Allen Lazard, Sean Tucker, 9 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 3 later picks

Read each row as: Daniel Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Daniel Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 43, the whole-deal value gap runs -18.9% from the side that received Daniel Jones, so the side ending up with Tua Tagovailoa has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Daniel Jones for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 43 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Daniel Jones trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms