Trevor Lawrence and Tua Tagovailoa have been on opposite sides of 44 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Trevor Lawrence for Tua Tagovailoa, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 16 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 16 times it was the Tua Tagovailoa side (5 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Trevor Lawrence as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Trevor Lawrence prices at 2,545 and Tua Tagovailoa at 122, so the market currently rates Trevor Lawrence about 20.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Trevor Lawrence | Went with Tua Tagovailoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | +73% | 1 3rd | 1 2nd |
| 2025-10-22 | -54% | — | 1 1st |
| 2025-08-09 | +29% | Tyler Warren | Devin Neal, Cade Otton, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2025-08-01 | -8% | Alvin Kamara, Deebo Samuel | Khalil Shakir, 1 1st |
| 2025-07-22 | +37% | — | 2 2nds, 1 3rd |
| 2025-06-09 | +47% | 1 1st | Tyreek Hill, 1 2nd |
| 2025-01-20 | +10% | Mac Jones | Mason Rudolph, 1 2nd, 1 3rd |
| 2024-12-10 | +58% | Jalen McMillan, Derek Carr, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Kirk Cousins, Cade Otton |
| 2024-11-19 | +40% | — | Jameis Winston, 1 3rd |
| 2024-11-06 | +45% | — | — |
Read each row as: Trevor Lawrence, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tua Tagovailoa plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Trevor Lawrence; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 44, the whole-deal value gap runs +17.9% from the side that received Trevor Lawrence, so the side ending up with Trevor Lawrence has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Trevor Lawrence for Tua Tagovailoa fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 44 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Trevor Lawrence trade · Every Tua Tagovailoa trade
All players with real trade data →