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Is Cole Kmet for T.J. Hockenson fair?

Cole Kmet and T.J. Hockenson have been on opposite sides of 36 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Cole Kmet for T.J. Hockenson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 11 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 11 times it was the Cole Kmet side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating T.J. Hockenson as the more valuable of the two.

36
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
11 / 0
One side sweetened: Cole Kmet / T.J. Hockenson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Cole Kmet prices at 16 and T.J. Hockenson at 197, so the market currently rates T.J. Hockenson about 12.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Cole KmetWent with T.J. Hockenson
2025-04-17-24%Puka Nacua, 1 3rdTyreek Hill, Christian McCaffrey, 2 2nds
2024-12-05-60%Bryce Young
2024-11-14+69%1 1stJauan Jennings
2024-08-20-14%Najee Harris
2024-08-18+56%Mark Andrews, Tony PollardBucky Irving, Ja'Lynn Polk, 1 2nd
2024-07-05-37%Marquise Brown, Jerry Jeudy1 3rd
2024-05-18-43%Trey Benson, Joshua Palmer, Jake FergusonJoe Mixon, Calvin Ridley
2024-04-29-46%2 2nds1 3rd
2024-04-28-5%George PickensTerrace Marshall, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-03-30-83%3 2nds, 1 3rdDerek Carr, Derrick Henry, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Cole Kmet, plus anything in the third column, was traded for T.J. Hockenson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Cole Kmet; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 36, the whole-deal value gap runs -25.9% from the side that received Cole Kmet, so the side ending up with T.J. Hockenson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Cole Kmet for T.J. Hockenson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 36 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Cole Kmet trade · Every T.J. Hockenson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms