T.J. Hockenson and Travis Kelce have been on opposite sides of 69 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 6 of them were straight up: T.J. Hockenson for Travis Kelce, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 14 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 12 of those 14 times it was the T.J. Hockenson side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Travis Kelce as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today T.J. Hockenson prices at 197 and Travis Kelce at 265, so the market currently rates Travis Kelce about 1.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with T.J. Hockenson | Went with Travis Kelce |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | -5% | Michael Wilson, Zay Flowers, 1 2nd | Xavier Worthy, A.J. Brown, Najee Harris, 1 3rd |
| 2025-11-23 | +37% | — | — |
| 2025-11-01 | +28% | Jermaine Burton, Arian Smith, Jalen Hurts | Jared Goff, Derrick Henry, David Montgomery, 1 3rd |
| 2025-08-21 | -27% | Diontae Johnson | 1 1st |
| 2025-08-11 | -5% | Tyreek Hill, Jauan Jennings, Sam Howell, 1 more | Jacob Cowing, Jake Browning, Devin Singletary, 1 more |
| 2024-09-17 | -52% | — | Stefon Diggs |
| 2024-08-24 | +17% | Marquise Brown, 1 3rd | Devin Singletary |
| 2024-08-04 | +39% | Jordan Addison | Diontae Johnson, Tyler Allgeier |
| 2024-07-11 | +38% | DeMario Douglas, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Stefon Diggs |
| 2024-05-22 | +4% | Brandon Aiyuk, Brock Purdy, 2 1sts, 1 2nd | Tyreek Hill, Patrick Mahomes, 2 3rds |
Read each row as: T.J. Hockenson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Travis Kelce plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received T.J. Hockenson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 69, the whole-deal value gap runs -20.7% from the side that received T.J. Hockenson, so the side ending up with Travis Kelce has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is T.J. Hockenson for Travis Kelce fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 69 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every T.J. Hockenson trade · Every Travis Kelce trade
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