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Is Dak Prescott for Deshaun Watson fair?

Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson have been on opposite sides of 35 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 4 of them were straight up: Dak Prescott for Deshaun Watson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 10 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 10 times it was the Deshaun Watson side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Dak Prescott as the more valuable of the two.

35
Deals they were both in
4
Straight up, one for one
3 / 7
One side sweetened: Dak Prescott / Deshaun Watson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Dak Prescott prices at 1,462 and Deshaun Watson at 37, so the market currently rates Dak Prescott about 39.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Dak PrescottWent with Deshaun Watson
2026-06-08+53%Kirk Cousins, Tee Higgins, Alec Pierce, 11 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pickJoe Milton, Efton Chism, Kimani Vidal, 9 more, 2 2nds, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-11-09+120%Jordan Mason
2024-09-05-1%1 3rdNajee Harris, Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2024-09-01+77%Jonathan Mingo, John Metchie, 1 2nd
2024-08-24+66%Rome OdunzeGus Edwards, Rico Dowdle
2024-07-11+5%A.J. Brown, 1 3rd, 1 later pickJa'Marr Chase
2024-05-15+42%A.J. Brown, Gardner Minshew, Romeo DoubsJamaal Williams, Terry McLaurin, Michael Pittman, 1 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-05-05+36%Baker Mayfield, 1 3rd
2024-03-26+42%1 later pickChristian Watson, Kendre Miller
2023-12-14-12%George Pickens, 1 1st

Read each row as: Dak Prescott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Deshaun Watson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Dak Prescott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 35, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.6% from the side that received Dak Prescott, so the side ending up with Dak Prescott has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Dak Prescott for Deshaun Watson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 35 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Dak Prescott trade · Every Deshaun Watson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms